A robust portfolio is not diversified across assets, but across macroeconomic regimes.

Yves Longchamp, CFA

Independent advice on macro strategy and asset allocation for institutional investors. No products, no retrocessions, no conflicts of interest.

20+ years of macro analysis and multi-asset management Investment committees UBS · Pictet · ETHENEA · AMINA Trilingual FR · DE · EN
Approach

From macroeconomic regime to portfolio decision

Markets behave differently across macroeconomic regimes: inflation or deflation, expansion or contraction, abundant or scarce liquidity. Most institutional portfolios are built for a single regime.

Abstract balance sheet of an economy: price and capital on one side, liquidity on the other — the three dimensions of macroeconomic regimes

My work is to identify the current regime and the one we are heading into, and to translate that reading into concrete allocation decisions: strategic allocation, tactical positioning, stress scenarios. Top-down, from the macro to the portfolio.

That reading is confronted with decision discipline. This is the role of the investment committee — where I have spent most of my career, notably at UBS, Pictet & Cie, ETHENEA Independent Investors and AMINA Bank.

The hierarchy of assets: inverted pyramid from equities to gold, from credit elasticity to currency scarcity
Inspired by P. Mehrling, The Inherent Hierarchy of Money.

Investment committee

  • Participation in investment committee meetings, on site or by video
  • Independent review of the allocation, risk positioning and macro scenario
  • Optional: written memo to the board, trustees or clients

Global macro strategy

  • Monthly written note: macro view, regime map, tactical allocation
  • Regular exchanges, enhanced availability in times of crisis
  • Ad hoc consultations between sessions
  • Optional: quarterly in-person meeting
Publications

Ideas first

I write to clarify my thinking — and publish to submit it to criticism.

All publications

Monthly columns in French: full list on Allnews.

About

Yves Longchamp, CFA

Yves Longchamp advises institutional investors on macroeconomic strategy, asset allocation and investment committee governance.

For more than twenty years, he has held senior positions in macro analysis and multi-asset management: senior economist at the Swiss National Bank, then economist and investment strategist at UBS Global Wealth Management and Pictet Wealth Management. At ETHENEA, he was Chief Economist and chaired the investment committee of the multi-asset funds. Most recently, he was Head of Research at AMINA Bank.

He publishes a monthly column on Allnews.ch. He works in French, German and English.

CFA Institute — Chartered Financial Analyst
MSc Economics & Economic History, London School of Economics
MSc Economics & Finance, HEC Lausanne
Doctoral programme, Study Center Gerzensee
Portrait of Yves Longchamp

Let's talk about your next market regime.

Based in Zurich, I work in French, German and English, in Switzerland and across Europe.